Iranians are young, they are middle class and they are tired of the conservative elements within their society.
With that in mind there is sincere dissatisfaction with what has been happening in the “election” which just occurred in Iran. Young people have been protesting, seemingly daily, in what is becoming a big challenge for those who consider themselves rulers of the country.
The Religious leadership have done the usual things, quash the press, restrict coverage from foreign journalists through violence or deportation. Cut the phone lines. You know your typical dictators moves.
The Internet however has continued to function in the Islamic Republic.
This has meant that people can access Twitter, blogs, youtube and other methods of communication. With this the updates come heavy showing a totally different view of a state that so often seems a monolith of intollerance and hate. Instead you see an Iranian people who want change. They are young, vibrant and solidly urban. While it would be a mistake to associate these liberal forces as somehow more accepting of the West there is a common thread that appears that this is case.
Anything different, liberal, less absorbed with conflict, sewing mistrust and mischief across the middle east would be a good thing.
During all of this the official forces in Iran seek to shut down the protests, going house to house, seeking to “question” anyone with a satelite dish. In doing this it would seem they are a person trying to block a leak with their hands. Yes it works for most, still some slips out, and nothing they have done so far is making any real difference.
It is obvious that the water is travelling easily and the official forces to this point are just getting wet.
Of course, like so many dictatorships before them, if the government really seeks control they can go down the road of the Chinese and Russians and use force to push their way forward. I have no idea at that point if the opposition will break down or continue to progress further into sincere rebellion. But make no mistake opposition cannot remain a consistant force and not be met by those who do not want change.